The Global Language Monitor

Disasters

The Japanese Earthquake and Tsunami, 2011

Updated Daily! Japanese Disaster Need-to-Know Glossary

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Casualties in Japan Disasters could reach 25,000 or more

AUSTIN, Texas, March 15, 2011 (Updated) — According to Global Language Monitor’s NarrativeTracker Technology the ultimate number of casualties resulting from the Japanese Quake and Tsunami should ultimately climb to over 25,000 and possibly reaching 50,000, or more.

“The depth of this tragedy is even deeper than what we had already imagined it to be” said Paul JJ Payack, President and Chief Word Analyst of the Global Language Monitor. “Only our understanding of the true magnitude of the tragedy, will enable us to move beyond it, to rebuild what needs to be rebuilt and renew what needs to be renewed. Our hearts and prayers go out to the families of those who were struck down – and the survivors who carry on.”

The analysis is based on NarrativeTracker’s analytical methodologies. Statements by public, corporate and military officials as well as outside agencies and various experts were complied and examined with appropriate trendlines extrapolated. The progression has been noted from the earliest reports where casualties were said to be ‘several hundred’, then ‘nearly a thousand’ and now in the ‘tens of thousands’.. At the same time, GLM noted the many reports of still-missing trains, ships, and good-sized villages where fewer than half the population has as not yet been accounted for.

The analysis compared trends in casualty-reporting with several disasters including the Haitian earthquake, Hurricane Katrina’s inundation of New Orleans, and the Southeast Asia Tsunami.

The analysis assumes that there are no deaths associated with the partial meltdowns of a number of nuclear reactors. GLM notes that this is an analysis is an estimate that is based on trending factors and should be considered as such.

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Earthquake Disaster Prevention Guidebook

The English version of the Japanese Earthquake Disaster Prevention Guidebook focusing on the Shizuoka Prefecture. Evidently, officials believed this Prefecture, hundreds of miles to the southwest of Tokyo was the most likely location of the next big quake.

The document is a PDF download.

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What do we call the Disaster?

Current Nominations:

Disaster in Japan (Washington Post)
Disasters in Japan (CNN)
Japan tsunami, earthquake (CNN International)
Pacific Tsunami (Reuters)
Nuclear Tsunami Quake (GLM)
2011 Sendai Earthquake and Tsunami (Wikipedia)
Japan Earthquake (BBC)
“Too early to say ….) (Gail Cotton, U. of Chicago)
Quake-Tsunami, Nuclear Crisis (Kyodo News Agency, Japan)

Send Nominations to disastertracking@gmail.com. Will post above.

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California SuperStorm on the Horizon?

The US Geological Survey convened a meeting of over 100 experts to gather together to discuss the possibility of a Super Storm.

Science Fiction? Not exactly, in the 1860s it rained for some forty days, inundating the Central Valley with some 10 feet of rain (equivalent to some 100 feet of snow)! The entire valley turned into an inland sea some 300 miles long and 20 miles wide. (Governor Leland Stanford has to take a boat to his inauguration!)

With global warming and climate change it is even more likely to happen now. If it did, it could cause some $300,000,000,000 in damage! This is about the same amount of damage as if the Big One (earthquake) hit Los Angeles or the Bay Area.